TA926 · STA
Source documents
Intervention
Condition
Comparators
| Name | Type | Established | Committee preferred |
|---|---|---|---|
| placebo | placebo | — | — |
| no active treatment | no treatment | Yes | Yes |
| best supportive care | best supportive care | — | — |
Clinical trials
| Trial | Design | Phase | Pivotal |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRAVE-AA1 | RCT | 3 | Yes |
| BRAVE-AA2 | RCT | 3 | Yes |
| BRAVE trials | RCT | III | Yes |
Economic model
ICER
Methodological decisions (14)
Choice of placebo as comparator rather than NHS treatments
Company: Not explicitly stated; used placebo comparison in trials
ERG: Would have preferred analyses including comparisons with NHS treatments such as immunosuppressants
Committee: Comparisons with placebo in base case is acceptable given wide variation in NHS practice; acknowledged unmet need for comparison with actual NHS treatments
ICER impact: uncertain_direction
Choice of comparator: baricitinib vs no active treatment vs best supportive care
Company: not explicitly stated in this section
ERG: not explicitly stated in this section
Committee: no active treatment as comparator
ICER impact: negligible
Composition of best supportive care
Company: Basket of active treatments (ciclosporin, methotrexate, azathioprine, intralesional corticosteroids, contact immunotherapy, prednisolone, topical corticosteroids, topical minoxidil, oral minoxidil, mycophenolate mofetil, anthralin, wigs) costed from secondary care perspective in revised base case; restricted to 10-year time horizon
ERG: No alopecia areata medicines used after non-response; only pharmacological mental health treatments, wigs and orthotics; provided scenarios with 1 or 2-year restrictions based on clinical expert feedback
Committee: Committee considered both company's and EAG's compositions and applied maximum best supportive care use in both arms with 10-year limit for medicine use for alopecia areata
ICER impact: uncertain_direction
Best supportive care use after non-response to treatment
Company: People with baricitinib non-response are less likely to have best supportive care compared with no active treatment group; decreased this differential in revised base case
ERG: Same proportion of people should have best supportive care after non-response in both arms; no evidence supports differential use; provided scenarios with 0%, 25%, 50%, 75% adjustments
Committee: Both arms should have the same proportion of best supportive care after non-response, but agree to consider range of proportions
ICER impact: decreases
Health state transitions and model design
Company: 4-state Markov model (induction, maintenance, best supportive care, death) with treatment response defined as SALT score ≤20 at 36 weeks; no one can transition from non-response to response after induction period
ERG: EAG considered the model structure appropriate and similar to models for other dermatological conditions
Committee: company's model structure for revised base case is appropriate for decision making
ICER impact: negligible
Adverse events inclusion in economic model
Company: Adverse events were mild, had little detriment to HRQoL, and did not increase healthcare costs; did not include in economic model
ERG: Adverse events should be included in economic modelling
Committee: Adverse events should be included in economic modelling
ICER impact: increases
Whether trial population is representative of NHS patient population in terms of depression, anxiety, and quality-of-life impact
Company: BRAVE trial populations are broadly representative of NHS patients
ERG: Trial populations had more severe alopecia areata and lower depression/anxiety than NHS population; treatment effects may underestimate effect in newly diagnosed or treatment-naive population
Committee: BRAVE populations broadly generalisable except for depression, anxiety, and QoL impact levels; acknowledges treatment effects may be underestimated in newly diagnosed population
ICER impact: increases
Applicability of BRAVE trial population to NHS patients
Company: not explicitly stated
ERG: BRAVE populations had more severe, difficult-to-treat alopecia areata; findings may underestimate treatment effect in newly diagnosed patients
Committee: BRAVE populations broadly generalisable except for depression, anxiety and quality-of-life impact; treatment effects may be underestimated in newly diagnosed or treatment-naive population
ICER impact: uncertain_direction
Whether SALT score ≤20 adequately captures treatment response and quality-of-life improvements
Company: SALT score of 20 or less used as definition of treatment response
ERG: Used SALT score ≤20 for treatment response definition
Committee: SALT score of 20 or less as treatment response
ICER impact: negligible
Responsiveness and validity of EQ-5D in alopecia areata
Company: EQ-5D appropriate for measuring health-related quality of life
ERG: Not explicitly stated
Committee: Acknowledged that almost half of people had scores of full health at baseline and no improvement in EQ-5D-5L scores after treatment; identified as a key uncertainty
ICER impact: increases
Proportion of people having best supportive care after all other options exhausted
Company: Company's assumed proportion
ERG: EAG's assumed proportion
Committee: Apply the same proportion of people having best supportive care in both baricitinib and no active treatment arms; consider a range of proportions
ICER impact: increases
Appropriateness of health-related quality-of-life measures used in trials to assess baricitinib effect
Company: EQ-5D-5L, HADS, SF-36 and Skindex-16 Alopecia Areata measures are appropriate for assessing quality of life
ERG: These measures may not be appropriate because many domains (e.g. mobility) are not relevant to alopecia areata; the measures may not capture important psychological aspects of the condition
Committee: The measures used may not adequately capture the profound impact of severe alopecia areata on quality of life; EQ-5D-5L may not be picking up important aspects of the condition
ICER impact: increases
Source of utility values for health states
Company: EQ-5D-5L data from Adelphi study, using difference between severe and mild subgroups to represent change from baseline after treatment
ERG: EQ-5D-5L data from BRAVE trials, used to estimate within-person changes after treatment response
Committee: true utility values likely lie between BRAVE and Adelphi studies; consider a range for decision making
ICER impact: increases
Health-related quality of life utility values
Company: Company's utility values
ERG: EAG's utility values
Committee: Consider both company's and EAG's utility values
ICER impact: uncertain_direction
Evidence gaps
Commercial arrangement
Special considerations