TA926 · STA

Baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata

Not recommendedTechnology Appraisal Committee AMay 2023

Source documents

Intervention

baricitinib (Olumiant)
Janus kinase inhibitor · Selective inhibition of Janus kinase 1 and 2 · oral

Condition

severe alopecia areatadermatology · chronic

Comparators

NameType Established Committee preferred
placeboplacebo
no active treatmentno treatmentYesYes
best supportive carebest supportive care

Clinical trials

TrialDesignPhasePivotal
BRAVE-AA1RCT3Yes
BRAVE-AA2RCT3Yes
BRAVE trialsRCTIIIYes

Economic model

markov (company)
Time horizon: lifetime
Cycle length: 4 weekly cycles

ICER

£50,000–£100,000 (baricitinib 4 mg vs no active treatment) · very_high uncertainty
£30,000–£50,000 (baricitinib vs best supportive care/no active treatment) · high uncertainty

Methodological decisions (14)

comparator selection

Choice of placebo as comparator rather than NHS treatments

Company: Not explicitly stated; used placebo comparison in trials

ERG: Would have preferred analyses including comparisons with NHS treatments such as immunosuppressants

Committee: Comparisons with placebo in base case is acceptable given wide variation in NHS practice; acknowledged unmet need for comparison with actual NHS treatments

ICER impact: uncertain_direction

comparator selection

Choice of comparator: baricitinib vs no active treatment vs best supportive care

Company: not explicitly stated in this section

ERG: not explicitly stated in this section

Committee: no active treatment as comparator

ICER impact: negligible

cost assumption

Composition of best supportive care

Company: Basket of active treatments (ciclosporin, methotrexate, azathioprine, intralesional corticosteroids, contact immunotherapy, prednisolone, topical corticosteroids, topical minoxidil, oral minoxidil, mycophenolate mofetil, anthralin, wigs) costed from secondary care perspective in revised base case; restricted to 10-year time horizon

ERG: No alopecia areata medicines used after non-response; only pharmacological mental health treatments, wigs and orthotics; provided scenarios with 1 or 2-year restrictions based on clinical expert feedback

Committee: Committee considered both company's and EAG's compositions and applied maximum best supportive care use in both arms with 10-year limit for medicine use for alopecia areata

ICER impact: uncertain_direction

cost assumption

Best supportive care use after non-response to treatment

Company: People with baricitinib non-response are less likely to have best supportive care compared with no active treatment group; decreased this differential in revised base case

ERG: Same proportion of people should have best supportive care after non-response in both arms; no evidence supports differential use; provided scenarios with 0%, 25%, 50%, 75% adjustments

Committee: Both arms should have the same proportion of best supportive care after non-response, but agree to consider range of proportions

ICER impact: decreases

model structure

Health state transitions and model design

Company: 4-state Markov model (induction, maintenance, best supportive care, death) with treatment response defined as SALT score ≤20 at 36 weeks; no one can transition from non-response to response after induction period

ERG: EAG considered the model structure appropriate and similar to models for other dermatological conditions

Committee: company's model structure for revised base case is appropriate for decision making

ICER impact: negligible

other

Adverse events inclusion in economic model

Company: Adverse events were mild, had little detriment to HRQoL, and did not increase healthcare costs; did not include in economic model

ERG: Adverse events should be included in economic modelling

Committee: Adverse events should be included in economic modelling

ICER impact: increases

population generalisability

Whether trial population is representative of NHS patient population in terms of depression, anxiety, and quality-of-life impact

Company: BRAVE trial populations are broadly representative of NHS patients

ERG: Trial populations had more severe alopecia areata and lower depression/anxiety than NHS population; treatment effects may underestimate effect in newly diagnosed or treatment-naive population

Committee: BRAVE populations broadly generalisable except for depression, anxiety, and QoL impact levels; acknowledges treatment effects may be underestimated in newly diagnosed population

ICER impact: increases

population generalisability

Applicability of BRAVE trial population to NHS patients

Company: not explicitly stated

ERG: BRAVE populations had more severe, difficult-to-treat alopecia areata; findings may underestimate treatment effect in newly diagnosed patients

Committee: BRAVE populations broadly generalisable except for depression, anxiety and quality-of-life impact; treatment effects may be underestimated in newly diagnosed or treatment-naive population

ICER impact: uncertain_direction

surrogate endpoint validity

Whether SALT score ≤20 adequately captures treatment response and quality-of-life improvements

Company: SALT score of 20 or less used as definition of treatment response

ERG: Used SALT score ≤20 for treatment response definition

Committee: SALT score of 20 or less as treatment response

ICER impact: negligible

surrogate endpoint validity

Responsiveness and validity of EQ-5D in alopecia areata

Company: EQ-5D appropriate for measuring health-related quality of life

ERG: Not explicitly stated

Committee: Acknowledged that almost half of people had scores of full health at baseline and no improvement in EQ-5D-5L scores after treatment; identified as a key uncertainty

ICER impact: increases

treatment sequencing

Proportion of people having best supportive care after all other options exhausted

Company: Company's assumed proportion

ERG: EAG's assumed proportion

Committee: Apply the same proportion of people having best supportive care in both baricitinib and no active treatment arms; consider a range of proportions

ICER impact: increases

utility source

Appropriateness of health-related quality-of-life measures used in trials to assess baricitinib effect

Company: EQ-5D-5L, HADS, SF-36 and Skindex-16 Alopecia Areata measures are appropriate for assessing quality of life

ERG: These measures may not be appropriate because many domains (e.g. mobility) are not relevant to alopecia areata; the measures may not capture important psychological aspects of the condition

Committee: The measures used may not adequately capture the profound impact of severe alopecia areata on quality of life; EQ-5D-5L may not be picking up important aspects of the condition

ICER impact: increases

utility source

Source of utility values for health states

Company: EQ-5D-5L data from Adelphi study, using difference between severe and mild subgroups to represent change from baseline after treatment

ERG: EQ-5D-5L data from BRAVE trials, used to estimate within-person changes after treatment response

Committee: true utility values likely lie between BRAVE and Adelphi studies; consider a range for decision making

ICER impact: increases

utility source

Health-related quality of life utility values

Company: Company's utility values

ERG: EAG's utility values

Committee: Consider both company's and EAG's utility values

ICER impact: uncertain_direction

Evidence gaps

no direct comparisonTrials compared baricitinib with placebo only; no comparisons with NHS treatments such as immunosuppressants, contact immunotherapy, or other off-label treatments
short follow upEvidence of baricitinib's effectiveness in treatment-naive population; BRAVE trials enrolled largely treatment-experienced patients
surrogate not validatedEffect of baricitinib on health-related quality of life; no clear improvement in EQ-5D-5L, HADS, or SF-36 despite hair regrowth
otherNo consensus on composition of best supportive care, particularly for lifetime horizon
otherNo evidence on differential use of best supportive care between baricitinib and no active treatment arms after non-response
otherUtility values at baseline and after treatment response uncertain; may not be adequately captured by EQ-5D-5L in alopecia areata population
no direct comparisonNo evidence on the differential use of best supportive care between the baricitinib arm and no active treatment arm after all other options exhausted
short follow upUncertainty about baricitinib's effectiveness in the treatment-naive population; effect on health-related quality of life; no clear consensus on proportion of people likely to have best supportive care after treatment options exhausted

Commercial arrangement

simple discount pas · confidential

Special considerations

Innovation acknowledged Equality issues raised