TA926/Scope Consultation Comments
Page 1

Summary form

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Single Technology Evaluation

Baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata [ID3979]

Response to consultee and commentator comments on the draft remit and draft scope (pre-referral)

Please note: Comments received in the course of consultations carried out by NICE are published in the interests of openness and transparency, and to promote understanding of how recommendations are developed. The comments are published as a record of the submissions that NICE has received, and are not endorsed by NICE, its officers or advisory committees.

Comment 1: the draft remit

Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Appropriateness British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
This request for appraisal is appropriate as there is a lifetime incidence of this
disorder of 2.1% and point prevalence of 0.58% of the adult population.
Alopecia areata (AA) effects women and men equally and incidence has been
linked to social deprivation.
The frequency of disease, and social and mental health impact warrant
further NICE appraisals to evaluate treatments for this underserved patient
group.
Comments noted. No
action required.
Eli Lilly and
Company
Yes, this is an appropriate topic to refer to NICE for Single Technology
Appraisal.
Comment noted. No
action required.
Wording British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Wording is appropriate. Comment noted. No
action required.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

Page 2

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Physicians)
Eli Lilly and
Company
Yes, the remit broadly reflects the clinical and cost effectiveness for baricitinib
in severe AA.
Comment noted. No
action required.
Timing Issues British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
Currently, there are no licensed treatments beyond topical steroids for AA.
There is a significant mental health burden associated with this hair loss
disorder and current treatments are messy, or painful, or unlicensed, or
require travel to dermatology centres weekly for contact immunotherapy.
Comments noted. No
action required.
Eli Lilly and
Company
There is no timing issue foreseen for this appraisal. Comment noted. No
action required.
Additional
comments on the
draft remit
Eli Lilly and
Company
None. Comment noted. No
action required.

Comment 2: the draft scope

Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Background
information
British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
The background section appears outdated and many of the supporting
references are old.
More accurate UK data on epidemiology of AA is now available from UK
epidemiological studies (Harries_et al._
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.20628). These data were
derived from interrogation of a large primary care database (RCGP-RSC) and
Comments noted. This
section of the scope
aims to provide a brief
overview of the
technology for the
evaluation; additional

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

Page 3

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Physicians) therefore rely on individuals with AA presenting to primary care. This may
underestimate the total prevalence in the UK population. This paper includes
information on age of onset, risk groups (e.g. more frequently in those of
Asian background, and from socially deprived and urban areas), as well as
referral rates.
Clinical diagnosis is also made by identifying circular patches of hair loss or
typical ophiasis patterns and, in some cases, identifying whitening of the
hairs, in addition to the exclamation mark hairs described.
Treatment of AA of less than 50% surface area with topical corticosteroids in
primary and secondary care is commonplace. With single patches of hair
loss, watchful waiting is likely to result in spontaneous regrowth in 80% of
cases, but with increasing extent of disease, spontaneous regrowth becomes
much less likely. There is also some clinical evidence to suggest that early
treatment for smaller patches with topical or intralesional steroids may
possibly reduce progression of disease, although this is yet to be proven in
good quality clinical trials.
There is no comment on disease associations with AA, including higher rates
of atopic disease and autoimmune conditions. Data on these associations
should shortly be available from the RCGP-RSC series of studies currently
underway (Harries_et al.
https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/bmjopen/11/11/e045718.full.pdf for protocol
of this work).
There is no mention of the emotional impact of AA. Higher rates of anxiety
and depression are seen in this population (Macbeth_et al.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.21055). Interestingly, there
appears to be a “two-way street” between AA and depression development.
Higher rates of time off work and unemployment are also seen in the disease
group.
More information on prognosis would be helpful. Although many with limited,
patchy disease may regrow their hair, this reported spontaneous regrowth
details may be
considered by the
committee, if
appropriate, at the time
of the evaluation. Some
of the suggested
amendments have been
included in the scope.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

Page 4

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
rate drops significantly in those attending secondary care. Extent and
duration of hair loss, as well as age of onset are key factors. Possible
references to review include Ikedahttps://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/5864736/
and Tosti_et al._ https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16908349/.From these
references it shows a progressive tendency to more extensive hair loss and
worse prognosis in AA over time.
In terms of pathogenesis, AA is generally agreed to be an inflammatory
autoimmune T cell-mediated disease directed against hair follicles. Genetic
predisposition has been shown through GWAS study (Petukhova_et al.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20596022/). Immune privilege collapse of the
HF bulb, and NKG2D+ cell infiltration are key processes at play.
It would be worth acknowledging the AA Priority Setting Partnership that
highlights AA uncertainties important to both clinicians and patients (Macbeth
et al. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.15099).
Finally, comment on the impact and disease burden of AA in relation to other
conditions could be included (Karimkhani_et al.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.13559 and Korta_et al._
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29548423/).
Eli Lilly and
Company
This section broadly captures the background information of AA, however
Lilly would propose that the following important points be additionally
incorporated into this section:
1) AA can lead to a rapid and profound distortion of appearance.1It is
important to note that the clinical presentation of AA differs from other
conditions, especially alopecia androgenetica (pattern baldness).
2) The scalp is affected in 90% of cases of AA.2In practice, severity
classification and clinical management is currently driven by the extent of
Comments noted. This
section of the scope
aims to provide a brief
overview of the
technology for the
evaluation; additional
details may be
considered by the
committee, if
appropriate, at the time
of the evaluation. Some

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
scalp hair loss.3
3) The psychological impact and consequent effects on health-related quality
of life (HRQoL) are important aspects of AA. Hair loss in visible areas is
reported by patients to be the most troublesome aspect of AA and the primary
cause of their distress.4-6Multiple studies have shown that AA may have a
significant negative impact on HRQoL and result in higher levels of anxiety
and a greater risk of depression.7, 8It has been shown in a recent UK study
that adults newly diagnosed with alopecia areata (n=5,435 in UK primary
care) have 30–38% higher risk of being subsequently diagnosed with new
onset depression and anxiety.9Quality of life impairment and psychological
burden are important considerations for the therapeutic management of
patients with AA.10, 11
4) AA is characterised by an immune-mediated attack on hair follicles, which
leads them to change from growth (anagen) phase into premature regression
(catagen) phase.1
5) The evolution of AA is unpredictable, and the prognosis varies highly
depending on the severity and duration of the disease. Spontaneous hair re-
growth has been reported to be frequent at the beginning of the disease when
most patients have mild forms of AA.12, 13When hair loss becomes extensive,
it tends to be chronic and spontaneous re-growth is rare. Consequently, the
prognosis of patients with severe AA is considered to be poor.10, 14
6) Assessment of efficacy difficult in AA, especially in the absence of a control
group, or when participants with various degrees of disease severity have
been included. Topical and intralesional corticosteroids are the first-line
treatments recommended for mild AA.10The standard of care in severe AA
of the suggested
amendments have been
included in the scope.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
(such as it is) currently involves trialling off-label treatments that have not
been well evaluated in clinical trials and which do not have marketing
authorisations for this disease.10The overall efficacy of such treatments
seems particularly low for patients with severe AA.10Moreover, some
treatment options can be uncomfortable for the patient, time consuming, and
associated with side effects which limit their long-term use.14
References
1.
Pratt CH, King LE, Jr., Messenger AG, et al. Alopecia areata. Nat Rev
Dis Primers 2017;3:17011.
2.
Alkhalifah A. Alopecia areata update. Dermatol Clin 2013;31:93-108.
3.
Wambier CG, King BA. Rethinking the classification of alopecia
areata. J Am Acad Dermatol 2019;80:e45.
4.
Aldhouse NVJ, Kitchen H, Knight S, et al. "'You lose your hair, what's
the big deal?' I was so embarrassed, I was so self-conscious, I was so
depressed:" a qualitative interview study to understand the
psychosocial burden of alopecia areata. J Patient Rep Outcomes
2020;4:76.
5.
Davey L, Clarke V, Jenkinson E. Living with alopecia areata: an online
qualitative survey study. Br J Dermatol 2019;180:1377-1389.
6.
FDA. The Voice of the Patient: Alopecia Areata. Public Meeting:
September 11, 2017. Report Date: March 2018. Available at:
https://www.fda.gov/files/about%20fda/published/Alopecia-Areata--
The-Voice-of-the-Patient.pdf [Accessed 22 February 2022].
7.
Liu LY, King BA, Craiglow BG. Health-related quality of life (HRQoL)
among patients with alopecia areata (AA): A systematic review. J Am
Acad Dermatol 2016;75:806-812 e3.
8.
Okhovat JP, Marks DH, Manatis-Lornell A, et al. Association Between
Alopecia Areata, Anxiety, and Depression: A Systematic Review and
Meta-analysis. J Am Acad Dermatol 2019.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
9.
Macbeth AE, Holmes S, Harries M, et al. The associated burden of
mental health conditions in alopecia areata: A population-based study
in UK primary care. Br J Dermatol 2022.
10.
Messenger AG, McKillop J, Farrant P, et al. British Association of
Dermatologists’ guidelines for the management of alopecia areata
2012. British Journal of Dermatology 2012;166:916-926.
11.
Rossi A, Muscianese M, Piraccini BM, et al. Italian Guidelines in
diagnosis and treatment of alopecia areata. G Ital Dermatol Venereol
2019;154:609-623.
12.
Lyakhovitsky A, Aronovich A, Gilboa S, et al. Alopecia areata: a long-
term follow-up study of 104 patients. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol
2019;33:1602-1609.
13.
Muller SA, Winkelmann RK. Alopecia Areata. An Evaluation of 736
Patients. Arch Dermatol 1963;88:290-7.
14.
Delamere FM, Sladden MM, Dobbins HM, et al. Interventions for
alopecia areata. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2008:Cd004413.
The technology/
intervention
British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
The basic description appears accurate. Comment noted. No
action required.
Eli Lilly and
Company
Lilly request that the wording be revised to: “It is a selective and reversible
inhibitor of Janus kinase (JAK) 1 and JAK2.”
Comments noted. The
scope has been
amended as suggested.
Population British
Association of
Dermatologists
The population is appropriate, however, the current description of the adult
population with severe disease does not include stipulation of duration of
disease.
Comments noted. The
scope has been kept
broad to ensure that

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

Page 8

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
The current trial data excluded those with disease of greater than 8 years.
Any assessment of clinical efficacy should also include disease of longer
duration, so that clinicians can stratify their patient population by those most
likely to respond based on evidence. Also, it is possible that those with longer
duration of disease may be older and therefore there may lead to indirect
exclusion or discrimination of patients of an older age.
It may also be worth considering children and young adults. Although the
peak incidence of AA onset is those aged 25-29 years (Harries_et al._
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.20628), a significant proportion
of patients first experience AA in childhood or adolescent years. This group
tends to have a worse prognosis, and visible hair loss can have a profound
impact psychologically at this stage of development.
NICE can evaluate the
technology within its
marketing authorisation.
No action required.
Eli Lilly and
Company
The population in the draft scope has been defined appropriately. Comment noted. No
action required.
Comparators British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
Currently accepted UK treatment for AA is very variable and is clinician-
dependant.
In specialist centres, contact immunotherapy may be considered a helpful
comparator but this is only available in limited dermatology centres.
Also, see “Questions for consultation” comments below.
Comments noted. The
scope has been kept
broad. The company
will have the opportunity
during the full
evaluation to outline
which comparators it
considers to be most
relevant. No action
required.
Eli Lilly and
Company
Currently it is unclear what comprises ‘established clinical management’ of
severe AA, as there are no therapies with marketing authorisations for this
disease.
Comments noted. The
scope has been kept
broad. The company
will have the opportunity

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

Page 9

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
In practice a range of options may be trialled as off-label treatment for AA. Of
these options, in the NHS there are limited centres which offer contact
immunotherapy and often this therapy can be very burdensome. Other
treatments that are sometimes tried are either only for short-term use, such
as systemic corticosteroids, or as adjunctive therapy e.g., intralesional
corticosteroids, minoxidil, methotrexate and other systemic treatments. A
fuller discussion on the current treatment pathway is provided in response to
the question for consultation further below.
Importantly, as a result, ‘established clinical management’ may include no
treatment.
during the full
evaluation to outline
which comparators it
considers to be most
relevant. No action
required.
Outcomes British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
SALT Score – there is further detail needed: will this be an absolute reduction
in SALT score or achievement of SALT50 (50% reduction in surface area
affected, analogous to PASI50 in psoriasis)?
Will an AA-specific quality of life tool or patient-reported outcome measures
be considered? This is lacking from the current description.
We are uncertain as to what the “Scalp Hair Assessment Score” is.
The main hair loss sites to consider are scalp, eyebrows and eyelashes.
However, beard hair loss should also be considered specifically (see
“Equality” section below).
Also, see “Questions for consultation” comments below.
Comments noted. The
outcomes in the scope
are broad and
overarching. More
specific outcomes
relevant to these
broader outcome
headings can be
considered as part of
the evaluation process.
Eli Lilly and
Company
Clinical outcomes
The key outcome measures presented relating to disease severity,
improvement in hair loss, and adverse effects of treatment capture some of
the most important health related benefits of baricitinib in alopecia areata
(AA).
Comments noted. The
company will have the
opportunity during the
full evaluation to
present any issues
related to modelling
outcomes in this
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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Health-related quality of life
The pivotal trials for baricitinib in AA collected EQ-5D-5L in line with the NICE
reference case, as well as SF-36, the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale
(HADS) and the disease-specific Skindex-16 for AA instrument. Importantly
however, HRQoL outcomes in this indication are not expected to be
adequately captured by the EQ-5D-5L instrument, with implications for the
derivation of utility values for use the economic analysis.
This arises because AA is characterised by non-scarring hair loss that, unlike
other dermatological conditions, does not usually cause physical symptoms
(beyond hair loss) or disability.10, 15The impact of AA on HRQoL is instead
attributed to the significant psychological distress caused by hair loss.1, 9, 16, 17
Owing to this mono-symptomatic aspect of AA, the five dimensions of health
covered by the generic EQ-5D instrument, comprised of mobility, self-care,
usual activities, pain/discomfort and anxiety/depression domains, do not
adequately capture the dimensions of HRQoL that are affected by AA (in this
case the psychological aspects), demonstrating a lack of content validity for
the EQ-5D instrument in AA.18, 19Thus, even a post hoc responder analysis of
EQ-5D may not differ significantly between responders and non-responders,
despite the obvious health benefits that are gained due to hair regrowth in
those that respond to baricitinib treatment.20Furthermore it is anticipated that
this lack of content validity for EQ-5D will simultaneously result in a significant
ceiling effect in the trial EQ-5D data, whereby many patients at baseline are
likely to report almost “perfect health” on the EQ-5D instrument and therefore
be unable to report an improvement from treatment in a responder analysis,
despite entering the trial with severe AA (>50% scalp hair loss).Similar
limitations have been reported from a recent trial funded by the National
Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment
programme to treat Vitiligo.21
condition. No action
required.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

Consultation comments on the draft remit and draft scope for the technology evaluation of baricitinib for treating severe alopecia areata Issue date: June 2022

Page 11

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Mapping HRQoL data generated from HADS into EQ-5D-3L utility values,
while offering a partial solution with respect to ceiling effects, is nonetheless
likely to also underestimate the utility benefit of treatment response. This is
because mapping these data into the EQ-5D instrument is likely to partially
negate the increased sensitivity gained from the use of an instrument that is
able to better quantify the HRQoL benefit of hair regrowth, due to the
remaining lack of content validity of the EQ-5D instrument in AA. Therefore,
despite the availability of a published mapping algorithm, the significant
improvements observed HADS-measured outcomes during BRAVE-AA1 and
BRAVE-AA2 do not fully translate into mapped EQ-5D utility data, even in
responders.20, 22
References
1.
Pratt CH, King LE, Jr., Messenger AG, et al. Alopecia areata. Nat Rev
Dis Primers 2017;3:17011.
9.
Macbeth AE, Holmes S, Harries M, et al. The associated burden of
mental health conditions in alopecia areata: A population-based study
in UK primary care. Br J Dermatol 2022.
10.
Messenger AG, McKillop J, Farrant P, et al. British Association of
Dermatologists’ guidelines for the management of alopecia areata
2012. British Journal of Dermatology 2012;166:916-926.
15.
National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Alopecia
areata. Available at:https://cks.nice.org.uk/topics/alopecia-areata/.
Last accessed: February 2022.
16.
Rencz F, Gulácsi L, Péntek M, et al. Alopecia areata and health-
related quality of life: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Br J
Dermatol 2016;175:561-71.
17.
Montgomery K, White C, Thompson A. A mixed methods survey of
social anxiety, anxiety, depression and wig use in alopecia. BMJ Open
2017;7:e015468.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
18.
Titeca G, Goudetsidis L, Francq B, Sampogna F, Gieler U, Tomas-
Aragones L et al. The psychosocial burden of alopecia areata and
androgenetica": A cross-sectional multicenter study among
dermatological out-patients in 13 European Countries.J Eur Acad
_Dermatol Venereol._2019; 34(2): 406-411. .
19.
EuroQoL. 2018. Available from:https://euroqol.org/.Last accessed:
Februrary 2022.
20.
King B. Efficacy and safety of baricitinib in adults with alopecia areata:
Phase 3 results from two randomized controlled trials (BRAVE-AA1
and BRAVE-AA2) FC02.05, EADV Congress 2021, 29 Sept–2 Oct.
21.
Batchelor JM, Thomas KS, Akram P, et al. Home-based narrowband
UVB, topical corticosteroid or combination for children and adults with
vitiligo: HI-Light Vitiligo three-arm RCT. 2020;24:64.
22.
Brazier J, Connell J, Papaioannou D, et al. A systematic review,
psychometric analysis and qualitative assessment of generic
preference-based measures of health in mental health populations
and the estimation of mapping functions from widely used specific
measures. Health Technol Assess 2014;18:vii-viii,xiii-xxv,1-188.
Economic
analysis
British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
Cost comparisons should also consider supportive treatments prescribed
whilst someone is undergoing active treatment (i.e. wig provision) and
potentially additional emotional support (e.g. psychologist or GP).
Time off work and unemployment are higher in those with AA (Macbeth_et al._
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.21055). Can these wider social
issues also be considered?
Comments noted. In
line with NICE
reference case, costs
are considered from the
NHS and Personal
Social Services
perspective. The
committee, at its
discretion, may request
non-reference case
analyses if appropriate.
No action required.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Eli Lilly and
Company
An economic analysis that addresses the requirements of the NICE reference
case will be submitted.
A lifetime time horizon will be implemented, and the NHS and PSS
perspective will be used.
Comments noted. No
action required.
Equality and
Diversity
British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
Having a disease duration cut-off of 8 years will indirectly lead to possible
age-discrimination.
Epidemiological data has shown that AA is more common in those of Asian
background and those of lower socioeconomic status and urban location, but
referral to secondary care is lower in these groups (Harries_et al._
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.20628). Inclusion of individuals
with these characteristics is important in the clinical and cost-effectiveness
data and in the patient representation in the consultation process.
Beard hair loss can have some religious implications, e.g. some from the Sikh
and Jewish faiths. Here, many standard treatments are more challenging for
beard hair loss, where systemic medication is often required at an earlier
stage.
Would NICE also consider including adolescents (age 12-17) with severe
AA? Treatment of children with AA is very challenging and increasing
available treatments would have a significant impact in this patient population.
Some health-related quality of life measures may not adequately capture the
impact of living with health conditions in older people (questions about work,
studying, sport) or those who are not in a relationship (question about sexual
activity); they may also not capture anxiety and depression across all groups
– two parameters that are commonly and negatively influenced by AA.
Additionally, they may discriminate against those who are non-native English
speakers.
Comments noted.
These equality issues
will be considered by
the committee during
the evaluation. No
action required.

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Page 14

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Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Eli Lilly and
Company
None identified. Comment noted. No
action required.
Other
considerations
British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
Perhaps sub-groups based on location of hair loss location (see comment
above on beard hair loss).
Comment noted. This
subgroup has been
added to the scope.
Eli Lilly and
Company
None Comment noted. No
action required.
Innovation British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
JAK inhibitors are innovative in their use for AA and may make a significant
impact on this patient group, as currently the treatment of severe AA is very
difficult. There are no evidence-based treatments available on the NHS that
have been evaluated successfully in high-quality clinical trials, except for
topical corticosteroids, which are usually ineffective in severe disease.
Those with AA have a significant mental health burden associated with their
disease and hopefully availability of evidence-based treatments will possibly
improve the mental health burden, although this is yet to be proven in clinical
trials.
AA is also associated with time away from work, which will have a significant
economic impact on the wider population.
It is difficult to truly capture the impact of treatments for AA using QALYs, as
this may not question the domains relevant to our patient population; perhaps
another measure may need to be considered.
Comments noted. The
evaluation committee
will discuss the
potentially innovative
nature of this
technology. No action
required.
Eli Lilly and 'Step-change’ in the management of AA Comments noted.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

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Summary form

Section Consultee/
Commentator
Comments [sic] Action
Company The current management of AA relies on the off-label use of treatments that
have not been well evaluated in clinical trials.
Baricitinib is an oral medication which has a novel targeted mode of action
involving the reversible inhibition of JAK1 and JAK2 enzymes and is expected
to be the first licensed treatment for severe AA.
The baricitinib clinical development programme for AA includes two robust
global pivotal clinical trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of baricitinib in a
clinically homogeneous population of adult patients with severe AA defined as
at least 50% scalp hair loss with current AA episode of more than 6 months’
duration without spontaneous hair regrowth. Both studies were:

multicentre

randomised

double-blind

placebo-controlled

parallel-group

outpatient
Baricitinib demonstrated key benefits across both pivotal Phase 3 trials,
including consistent and clinically meaningful improvement across relevant
signs and symptoms of AA. Appropriately for this chronic condition, the
benefits were durable over 76 weeks of treatment.
The demonstration of efficacy was performed in a refractory population of
patients with chronic and extensive disease. Over half of all patients enrolled
in the studies had a very severe AA at baseline as measured by Severity of
Alopecia Tool (SALT 95 to 100 or 95% to 100% percentage of hair loss), with
a mean duration of the current episode of 3.9 years. Approximately 90% of
patients in the AA studies reported prior AA therapy, and over 50% had used
Innovation will be
considered by the
evaluation committee
when formulating its
recommendations. The
company will have an
opportunity to provide
evidence on the
innovative nature of its
product in its
submission. No action
required.

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systemic immunosuppressant or immunomodulator therapy.
The integrated safety data from the AA clinical programme did not reveal new
signals or safety concerns compared with the established safety profile.
Benefits not captured in the QALY
As described, changes in HRQoL in responders will not be fully captured by
the EQ-5D-5L data collected in the trial due to its lack of content validity and
the observed ceiling effects in patients with AA.1, 16, 17While disease-specific
HRQoL measures such as HADS may better capture the impact of baricitinib-
induced hair regrowth on HRQoL, as it has been demonstrated in BRAVE-
AA1 and BRAVE-AA2, these changes are not anticipated to be fully
translated into EQ-5D-3L utilities following the use of a mapping algorithm.22
Therefore, neither mapping HADS into EQ-5D-3L nor EQ-5D-5L itself are
likely to fully capture the health-related benefits associated with hair regrowth
in those who respond to baricitinib treatment. Given these challenges with
generating utility values that fully capture the value of treatment in this
indication, HADS and disease-specific Skindex-16 AA HRQoL data generated
during BRAVE-AA1 and BRAVE-AA2 may need to be considered qualitatively
by the Committee alongside EQ-5D-based analyses, to better reflect the
health related benefits of baricitinib in AA.20
References
1.
Pratt CH, King LE, Jr., Messenger AG, et al. Alopecia areata. Nat Rev
Dis Primers 2017;3:17011.
16.
Rencz F, Gulácsi L, Péntek M, et al. Alopecia areata and health-
related quality of life: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Br J
Dermatol 2016;175:561-71.
17.
Montgomery K, White C, Thompson A. A mixed methods survey of

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social anxiety, anxiety, depression and wig use in alopecia. BMJ Open
2017;7:e015468.
20.
King B. Efficacy and safety of baricitinib in adults with alopecia areata:
Phase 3 results from two randomized controlled trials (BRAVE-AA1
and BRAVE-AA2) FC02.05, EADV Congress 2021, 29 Sept–2 Oct.
22.
Brazier J, Connell J, Papaioannou D, et al. A systematic review,
psychometric analysis and qualitative assessment of generic
preference-based measures of health in mental health populations
and the estimation of mapping functions from widely used specific
measures. Health Technol Assess 2014;18:vii-viii,xiii-xxv,1-188.
Questions for
consultation
British
Association of
Dermatologists
(endorsed by
the Royal
College of
Physicians)
1. How is severity of AA determined in clinical practice?
This is generally done by the % extent of hair loss – usually using the
Severity of Alopecia Tool (SALT) score. However, certain hair loss sites may
have a disproportionate impact on an individual (e.g. beard or eyebrow loss),
or more limited patches may be in an area more difficult to camouflage (e.g.
frontal hairline).
2. How is AA treated in clinical practice and by whom?
Primary care clinicians will treat many patients with mild disease with topical
corticosteroids or observe those with limited disease. Secondary care
dermatologists and paediatric dermatologists will treat the majority of
individuals with severe disease, but referral rates are lower in those of lower
socioeconomic status. There are also a limited number of tertiary care hair
specialist dermatologists in the UK who will treat the full spectrum of extent of
hair loss but will also be referred patients in whom there are complex issues
or if available treatments have failed and specialist treatments are needed.
Limiting the availability of the drug to those who have been reviewed by a
tertiary specialist may lead to geographic inequalities in drug availability.
Initiation of treatment varies. Current primary care guidance suggests that a
“watch and wait” policy in recent-onset, limited patch AA is reasonable as
spontaneous regrowth is common. When treatment is given in primary care
Comments noted. No
action required.

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this usually comprises a topical corticosteroid (see Harries_et al.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.20628 for further information
on issued prescriptions in this population).
However, 1 in 5 people with limited disease will go on to develop extensive
AA from which spontaneous regrowth, or response to treatment, is rare (Tosti
et al. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjd.20628). Therefore, many
hair specialists advocate earlier treatment to prevent progression to more
extensive disease (Meah_et al.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32165196/).
3. Are treatments the same for the different types of AA, for example,
alopecia totalis, alopecia universalis, alopecia areata incognita, alopecia
areata ophiasis, alopecia areata sisaipho and alopecia barbae?
Various treatments are available. See the expert consensus paper published
recently that summarises the main options (Meah_et al.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32165196/). This paper is useful as the
current quality of evidence for most AA therapies is poor.
4. How and when is treatment effectiveness evaluated in clinical
practice?
In clinical practice, patients are usually advised to wait for 6 months of a new
treatment for AA before assessing for response (see consensus statements
in Olsen_et al.2004https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15337988/ and 2018
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29128463/). Some therapies may take longer
to see an effect, with data for both topical immunotherapy (Chiang_et al.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25128116/) and more recently baricitinib
(King_et al.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34090959/)suggesting ongoing
improvement even after this timeframe.
Surface area regrowth, mainly by SALT score, but also ask what patients
think. Sometimes, success for patients is different to success for clinicians –
hair thickness, quality of hair, hair distribution are all factors.
5. Have all relevant comparators for baricitinib been included in the
scope? Which treatments are considered to be established clinical

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practice in the NHS for severe alopecia areata?
See expert consensus paper (Meah_et al._
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32165196/).
In the NHS, most patients will have received a potent topical corticosteroid
initially. After this, some may have had a course of oral corticosteroids;
however, side effects limit longer treatment durations.
Topical immunotherapy is only available in certain specialist centres (see
British Hair and Nail Society websitehttps://bhns.org.uk/), making access to
this option challenging for many without significant travel requirements.
Dithrocream has recently been taken off the market in the UK.
Systemic immunosuppressants may be considered, with ciclosporin,
methotrexate and mycophenolate mofetil being the main agents. However,
side effects and maximum treatment duration (especially relevant for
ciclosporin therapy, which is usually limited to 6-12 months’ treatment) can
impact on how long these therapies may be used. Evidence for efficacy is of
poor quality.
6. Are the outcomes listed appropriate?
See comment above.
7. Are the subgroups suggested in ‘other considerations appropriate?
Are there any other subgroups of people in whom baricitinib is expected
to be more clinically effective and cost effective or other groups that
should be examined separately?
See comments above.
8. Where do you consider baricitinib will fit in current treatment
pathway?
There are no licensed treatment specific for AA. JAK inhibitors in general
would fit at the stage when topical contact immunotherapy (if available) is
considered, i.e. ≥50% hair loss that has not responded to topical +/- oral
corticosteroids and intralesional corticosteroids (where appropriate). N.B.

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topical contact immunotherapy can only treat_scalp_hair loss.
9. Do you consider baricitinib to be innovative in its potential to make a
significant and substantial impact on health-related benefits and how it
might improve the way that current need is met (is this a ‘step-change’
in the management of the condition)?
Yes – current available therapies for AA are often ineffective. Regular clinic
visits, blood monitoring and drug costs, along with wig prescription and wider
societal issues (e.g. unemployment) all contribute the impact of AA on the
individual, NHS and society more widely. Effective treatment options are
needed urgently to prevent the longer term sequalae of ongoing AA (e.g.
mental health issues).
10. Do you consider that the use of baricitinib can result in any potential
significant and substantial health-related benefits that are unlikely to be
included in the QALY calculation?
See comments above.
Eli Lilly and
Company
Q1) How is alopecia areata diagnosed in clinical practice?
AA is diagnosed by clinical history and physical examination. In case of
diagnostic uncertainty, additional assessments such as trichoscopy,
laboratory tests or a scalp biopsy can be used.
Q2) How is severity of alopecia areata determined in clinical practice?
Dermatologists will assess the extent of physical hair loss. The Severity of
Alopecia Tool (SALT) score is the recommended tool to do this. Some
dermatologists may combine this with a QoL measure, such as Dermatology
Life Quality Index (DLQI) (modified to change questions about skin to be
about scalp). In addition, given the psychological burden of AA, measures of
anxiety and depression such as Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) and
Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7) or HADS may be used. None of these
Comments noted. No
action required.

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QoL measure are specific to AA and therefore there is no consensus on
which measures should be used.
Q3) How is alopecia areata treated in clinical practice and by whom?
First presentation will usually be to the GP who may initiate treatment for mild
AA; treatment for severe AA would be initiated by a secondary care
dermatologist following referral from the GP. Patients may not always be
referred due to the belief that there are no further treatment options.
Therapeutic algorithms for AA are generally based on the extent of hair loss
(i.e. severity) and the patient’s age.10, 11Topical and intralesional
corticosteroids are the first-line treatments recommended for patients with
limited patchy hair loss.10, 11, 23Supportive therapies like topical minoxidil are
frequently proposed in clinical practice, but without a clear consensus on their
usefulness.10, 11, 23
Patients with severe disease are most often prescribed corticosteroids orally
and/or topically using high-potency topical corticosteroids, but such treatment
is necessarily time-limited. Other systemic agents are used after failure of oral
corticosteroids or as corticosteroid-sparing agents to limit the adverse effects
of prolonged corticotherapy.23Alternative options for severe disease are
topical immunotherapy and phototherapy. Topical immunotherapy is not
widely available, which limits its role in AA management. No consensus has
been reached on the efficacy of phototherapy in AA, and, because of the
serious side effects potentially associated with prolonged and repeated
courses, this modality is not recommended.1, 10, 11, 23
Q4) Are treatments the same for the different types of alopecia areata,
for example, alopecia totalis, alopecia universalis, alopecia areata
incognita, alopecia areata ophiasis, alopecia areata sisaipho and
alopecia barbae?

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Treatment differs primarily based on severity of AA, but differences also arise
due to the site of hair loss:

Localised scalp hair loss (i.e. mild AA): topical and intralesional
steroids

Widespread hair loss including hair loss above ≥ 50% (i.e. severe AA;
including AA totalis and AA universalis): contact immunotherapy (if
available at a suitable centre), or systemic immunosuppressants

AA barbae (beard): this is a steroid sensitive site and prolonged
super-potent steroids are not suitable; additionally, caution is required
with injections

AA ophiasis: treated as severe AA, as this form of AA is known to be
treatment-resistant

AA incognita (diffuse alopecia): treated as severe AA if unresponsive
to topical minoxidil/clobetasol
Q5) How and when is treatment effectiveness evaluated in clinical
practice?
This issue is not well defined in treatment guidelines; new treatments are
typically initiated for a minimum 3-month trial, however clinical experts have
suggested to Lilly that often 6 months are needed to evaluate response.
Response is typically defined in terms of percentage hair loss or re-growth
(e.g. using SALT score) but may additionally include physician global
assessment, patient global assessment and DLQI.
Q6) Have all relevant comparators for baricitinib been included in the
scope? Which treatments are considered to be established clinical
practice in the NHS for severe alopecia areata?
Please refer to the answer to question 3 above. It should also be noted that
there are no large randomised placebo controlled trials for existing

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established clinical management for AA in the UK.
Q7) Are the outcomes listed appropriate?
Please refer to our response to “Outcomes” in the decision problem section
above.
Q8) Are the subgroups suggested in ‘other considerations appropriate?
Are there any other subgroups of people in whom baricitinib is expected
to be more clinically effective and cost effective or other groups that
should be examined separately?
No other subgroups identified at this stage.
Q9) Where do you consider baricitinib will fit in current treatment
pathway?
Lilly anticipates that baricitinib use would be as close to marketing
authorisation as possible; baricitinib is anticipated to be indicated for the
treatment of severe alopecia areata in adult patients defined as a Severity of
Alopecia Tool (SALT) score ≥ 50 (that is, scalp hair loss of ≥50%).
Q10) Do you consider baricitinib to be innovative in its potential to make
a significant and substantial impact on health-related benefits and how
it might improve the way that current need is met (is this a ‘step-change’
in the management of the condition)?
Yes. Please refer to our response to this question under “Innovation”, above.
Q11) Do you consider that the use of baricitinib can result in any
potential significant and substantial health-related benefits that are
unlikely to be included in the QALY calculation?

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Yes. Please refer to our response to this question under “Innovation”, above.
Q12) Please identify the nature of the data which you understand to be
available to enable the Appraisal Committee to take account of these
benefits.
Data that will enable the Appraisal Committee to take account of these non-
QALY benefits will all be derived from the pivotal phase III trials.
Q13) To help NICE prioritise topics for additional adoption support, do
you consider that there will be any barriers to adoption of this
technology into practice? If yes, please describe briefly.
None identified.
References
1.
Pratt CH, King LE, Jr., Messenger AG, et al. Alopecia areata. Nat Rev
Dis Primers 2017;3:17011.
10.
Messenger AG, McKillop J, Farrant P, et al. British Association of
Dermatologists’ guidelines for the management of alopecia areata
2012. British Journal of Dermatology 2012;166:916-926.
11.
Rossi A, Muscianese M, Piraccini BM, et al. Italian Guidelines in
diagnosis and treatment of alopecia areata. G Ital Dermatol Venereol
2019;154:609-623.
23.
Meah N, Wall D, York K, et al. The Alopecia Areata Consensus of
Experts (ACE) study: Results of an international expert opinion on
treatments for alopecia areata. J Am Acad Dermatol 2020;83:123-130.

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The following consultees/commentators indicated that they had no comments on the draft remit and/or the draft scope

Alopecia UK

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